Washington – The Republicans of the House of Representatives were jubilant later Muscle through President Donald Trump’s Tax and immigration package “big, beautiful” For a single vote. But throughout the Capitol, the senators were more cautious.
The leader of the majority of the Senate, John Thune, can afford to lose three Republican senators and even approve the bill, and there is more than that, at this time, who have problems with him. Like the Chamber, you will have to balance the concerns of moderate and conservative members of your conference.
The aspiration deadline for Republicans is July 4, ahead of a Debt potential breach. Thune said that groups of senators had already gathered to discuss the legislation and that they would like to take time to review it. “And then we will put our seal,” he said.
“We’ll see how it goes,” said Thune. “What is needed to reach 51?”
A look at some of the possible points in the Senate:
Several Republican senators have said that the Chamber billionaire tax package does not have enough savings. Thune said that many in his Republican conference favor tax exemptions in the bill, but “when it comes to the side of expenses of the equation, this is a unique moment in time, in history, where we have the Chamber and the Senate and the White House, and an opportunity to do something significant on how to control government spending.”
Senator Ron Johnson, Republican of Wisconsin, a sharp critic of the Chamber’s bill, wants the United States to return to pre-pondemic spending levels. He has indicated that he would be in the bill as he is now, and says he has at least three other senators aligned with him.
Senate Republicans are generally on board with more strict work requirements for major medical beneficiaries that make up a large part of the bill. $ 700 billion of program savings. But the Republican sensations Josh Hawley in Missouri, Jerry Moran de Kansas and Susan Collins de Maine, among others, have expressed concern about other changes in the bill that could reduce funds to rural hospitals or increase co -payments and other medical care costs for the recipients.
The senators could have a powerful ally in Trump, who often said he does not want clippings to Medicaid, even when he has supported the draft Chamber. Hawley said he spoke with Trump this week by phone and “his exact words were: ‘Don’t touch it, Josh'”.
Others have distrusted the effort of the camera bill to change some costs of the food coupons program to the states, potentially an important problem for some red states that have a large number of food aid receptors. The Chamber’s Bill Save $ 290 billion of food aid, and the president of the Senate Agriculture Committee, John Boozman, said the Senate savings “will probably be a bit lower.”
Thune said this week that “one of the main differences” between the Chamber and the Senate is that the Republican senators want to make many of the tax cuts permanent, while the Chamber’s bill has shorter deadlines for many of its cuts, including There are no taxes on advicePayment of overtime, car loop interests and others.
The president of the Senate Finance Committee, Mike Crapo, said Thursday that trying to make some of the cuts permanent is “a goal at this time.”
One of the most important questions for the Senate: if tax exemptions should really be compensated with cuts in other places.
To compensate for the costs of lost tax revenues, the Republicans of the House of Representatives have proposed more than $ 1 billion in expenses reductions among Medicaid, food coupons and reversions of the green energy program. However, Republicans in the Senate do not believe that there is a cost associated with permanently extending existing taxes, establishing a political and procedural confrontation ahead.
The camera bill includes an increase of $ 4 billion in the debt limit. The secretary of the Treasury, Scott Besent, warned that the United States is on the way to running out of money to pay their bills already in August without Congress actions.
Senator Rand Paul, Republican of Ky., Said he will not support the bill if the increase in debt roof is included. He said he is willing to consider it if he is removed.
But most Republican senators want to avoid a separate struggle that would require 60 votes in the Senate. Texas Senator John Cornyn said that if they deal with the roof of the debt outside the legislation, then they would have to “pay the rescue of a king” to the Democrats to obtain enough votes.
Several Republican senators have said that they are concerned about the provisions of the House of Representatives that repealed or eliminating clean energy prosecutors approved in 2022 that has stimulated investment in many states.
The republican sensors Lisa Murkowski of Alaska, Thom Tillis of North Carolina, John Curtis of Utah and Moran wrote a letter last month arguing that eliminating the credits could “create uncertainty, endanger the capital allocation, the planning of long -term projects and the creation of employment in the energy sector and in our broader economy.”
The Chamber’s Bill prohibit the states and localities of the regulation of artificial intelligence For a decade, giving the federal government more control over politics. It is an approach that has been favored by the AI industry, but has caused concern on the part of the members of both sides of the hall.
And even if you have enough support, the disposition may not approve the Senate parliamentarian because it is unlikely to have an impact on the federal budget.
With a limited margin for victory and only 53 Republicans in the Senate, the main priority of each senator acquires a huge importance. The South Dakota senator, Mike Rounds, said he supports the Chamber’s bill, but that the way he deals with spectrum auctions, the sale of telecommunications signal rights, is a “decisive factor” for him. He said he is in conversations with other senators on the subject.
Senator John Hoeven, RN.D., said that one of his main objectives is that they include money for certain agricultural security networks and organize an approval for a broader agricultural bill at the end of this year.
“In the end, we have to have 50 more one to support him,” said Hoeven. “So we have some work to do.”
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The Associated Press writer, Lisa Mascaro, contributed to this story.